Quote:
Originally Posted by Romulus
Provide the evidence that 5% of the population will require hospitalisation and/or ICU care.
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It's actually an interesting question.
In Australia we have had widely differing Hospitalisation / ICU / Intubation rates with hospitalisations ranging from 36% of cases (VIC) down to 3.9% (NSW). Likewise the ICU percentages range from a low of none (Tas) to 2.4% (NSW) and up to 18.4% in Victoria while intubations range from none in WA, SA, Tas through 2.0% in NSW and up to 6.3% in Victoria.
The National average is 9% of active cases receiving hospital care; 4% of active cases are in ICU and 3% of active cases are being intubated.
If those rates were to be maintained (which they wouldn't) and we have 2,200 ICU beds available then we could support about 5,000 concurrent active cases as long as they were evenly spread where the beds are (which they wouldn't be).
To put that in perspective; we currently have 990 active cases nationally.
