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13-08-2008, 05:55 PM | #91 | |||
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He's not feeding himself and his family from working in the automotive industry.
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13-08-2008, 08:30 PM | #92 | |||
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The flipside is that China is stockpiling huge reserves of a declining currency with no interest and will either feel the effects of inflation of an increasing interest rate soon. China is on a different economic planet to the rest of the globe. If you could oppress your people, you might be able to emulate a China like situation. |
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13-08-2008, 08:32 PM | #93 | |||
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The subsidies given are not deferred loans, they're helicopter drops of money. If I was given $50,000 PA for nothing, I'd admit I was free riding. But in actual fact, the government is investing in me because they know they'll reap dividends in the future. |
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13-08-2008, 08:36 PM | #94 | |||
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It has no material bearing on my argument that I can't find the stat because we know that domestically produced items are often many times more expensive than imported. Especially in the case of foreign owned/dominated markets. If Australians could produce and build a $35,000 family car, you would see many more Australian car manufacturers. With all the subsidies they get, even a $70,000 car would probably reduce in price a great deal. Tariffs are a bandaid for a bullet wound. |
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13-08-2008, 08:42 PM | #95 | |||
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We don't have the quality of the Italians nor the efficiency of the Asians. It's a sad fact which will most likely kill the Australian car industry over time. Unless of course something is done. Tariffs retard innovation. If Holden start feeling a hit, they may push their R+D more strongly and come up with something new. Ford invented the ute, the electric car's just around the corner. I don't know why the F Ford/Holden aren't using diesel in the family cars. You could tow a boat with awesome economy. Just some ideas. Holden/Ford should be at each others throats with Displacement of Demand etc. Cut of tarriff's would definitely increase competition. Mince you I'm not saying completely, but a reduction is warranted. |
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13-08-2008, 08:49 PM | #96 | |||
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As for DOD thats like toyota's AWD when we feel like it.
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13-08-2008, 08:57 PM | #97 | |||||
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We don't necesarily have to turn into the mining industry. Simply an industry which can better support itself. Yes we might take away Aussie jobs. But so did the computer. Typewriters, screen setters, telegraph transcribers, etc all got displaced. The advent of the digital watch destroyed horologists etc. Should we have just continued to subsidise these industries when other people had alternatives that could do it better? You're probably thinking that I'm talking about technological innovation, not offshoring. But from a broader viewpoint, it's just another cheaper way of meeting the customers demand. Quote:
The mobility of capital has negated the benefits of a production based economy. Your economic views were built on the assumption that the service sector was unproductive. They didn't have words like human capital or information services back in those days. The mere thought of education as a commodity would have given them a coronary. I know what China are doing and it will bite them. Just check my above post. With time, they'll feel the pinch and their case is unique. About Thailand, if they're no worse off by stopping the purchase of Territories, then who cares? They were only buying our cars because they were better off doing so. Imagine if we decided to stop the import of Japanese products. Or even if the USA did. They wouldn't because they/we have a beneficial relationship, obviously Thailand didn't. |
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13-08-2008, 09:03 PM | #98 | |||
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I think there's a lot more H/F can do before they have to shut down shop. Lowering the tariffs will help that along. My last post for the day is that this is fueled by Australian greed. When our income increases, we spend more money, much of it overseas. That's what reduces our trade balance and makes other countries rich. You can't stop globalisation. Barriers are being broken down and people are having to work harder for a larger amount of customers. Within a hundred years people will be laughing at tariff's, amazed they ever existed. Other than being a costly way of propping up (potentially) uncompetitive workers in an uncompetitive industry in the short term, excessive tariffs are not good for the economy at large. I think the car industry here has it way too cushy, as do the EU farmers. This only leads to unproductive practices that will harm Australians in the long run. To really get back to topic, I support cuts to tariffs, not the immediate abolition. |
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14-08-2008, 08:16 AM | #99 | |||||
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VIXEN MK II GT 0238 with Sunroof and tinted windows with out all the go fast bits I actually need : |
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14-08-2008, 09:03 AM | #100 | |||
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14-08-2008, 09:04 AM | #101 | |||
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How has the car industry had it too cushy are you refering to the massive profits generated by Ford and Holden - or are you comparing them to their parent companies. The car industry is in difficulties however given a chance they can turn things around - you dont walk from an entire industry as it goes though a transitional phase this is when the industry needs protection. I dont think the workers are uncompetitive I suggest you get out and have a look at the industry and see how things are done. If you know of unproductive practises please state the practises so the industry can improve and be competitive. Let us know what Ford, Holden and Toyota can do. Tarrifs (or protection) should be offered to all industry especially considering other countries protect there industry - why should Oz be any different?
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VIXEN MK II GT 0238 with Sunroof and tinted windows with out all the go fast bits I actually need : Last edited by SB076; 14-08-2008 at 09:10 AM. |
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14-08-2008, 09:13 AM | #102 | |||
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Get out of the lecture theatre, put down that study guide and spend 4 weeks with the manufacturing guys at Broadmeadows and Geelong. You have no idea what those guys do and the way they run their business. Try it, maybe you'll really LEARN something. |
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14-08-2008, 10:41 AM | #103 | |||
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In the real world it doesn't make sense to throw away billions in investment and infastructure because of short term fluctuations in the market. My work for example does Civil and Structural enginnering so as such employs Civil and Structural engineers. For the past year there has been very little Civil work and a boom in Structural work so as of such the Civil part of the business is unprofitable with the Structural part subsidising it. Why doesn't the company simply fire all the Civil Engineers and concentrate on profitable structural work?? Because the market changes and next year there could be different conditions so there is no use throwing away all the investment. Vehicle manufacturing is the same. It is currently unprofitable but 3 years ago it was and next year it could be. For all we know the Aussie Dollar could crash or Asian Currencies Skyrocket and manufacturing could be profitable again. |
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14-08-2008, 01:46 PM | #104 | ||
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Ok I found some info.
According to this link "...The taxpayer and consumer support to the industry was worth about $1.1billion last year. The PC reckons that each job 'saved' in the industry costs us $300,000 a year." Here is the report link http://www.pc.gov.au/__data/assets/p...omodelling.pdf I am definitely seeing the evidence against tariffs stacking up. |
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14-08-2008, 02:56 PM | #105 | |||
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Edit: interesting the second article states that the direct number of employees involved in the Automotive industry is 68,000 (box 1.1 facts and figures) What do you suggest happens to those 68,000 workers should Ford, Holden and Toyota withdraw from manufacturing in Oz.
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VIXEN MK II GT 0238 with Sunroof and tinted windows with out all the go fast bits I actually need : Last edited by SB076; 14-08-2008 at 03:10 PM. |
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14-08-2008, 03:00 PM | #106 | |||
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Add 10% tarrif and a $40k Falcon has a $9500 cost advantage over it's imported rivals. |
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14-08-2008, 03:10 PM | #107 | |||
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Look I see it from both sides. People against tariffs can't see the benefit of supporting manufacturers who are simply not competitive enough, that can't stand on their own two feet. They see the fact these multinational companies should be able to compete as others have, basically innovate or die. On the other side people believe that the tariffs should be there to protect the industry, to keep people in work and keep what is left of the manufacturing industry for at least the short term. Me? I am about facts and figures, evidence to prove one way or the other. I am not an economist (far from it) but am keeping my personal opinion out of it. I would rather the decision to be made to benefit the country not a select few people. |
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14-08-2008, 03:17 PM | #108 | |||
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In reality more than 200,000 cars are made locally I think (exports should be included too). The number may be around : 70,000 Ford. 120,000 Holden (inc exports). 140,000 Toyota (inc exports). 30,000 Mitsubishi (now gone). Does 360,000 sound about right ? So........ that's around about $ 3,000 per car now. How is a "Falcadore" going to cost $140,000 without govenment help ??? :togo: |
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14-08-2008, 03:25 PM | #109 | |||
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I beleive its in the best interests of Oz to keep manufacturing - as stated 68,000 people involved in Automotive - who knows how many in manufacturing in general, but even losing those 68,000 would result in massive job losses in other industries
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VIXEN MK II GT 0238 with Sunroof and tinted windows with out all the go fast bits I actually need : |
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14-08-2008, 03:31 PM | #110 | |||
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VIXEN MK II GT 0238 with Sunroof and tinted windows with out all the go fast bits I actually need : |
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14-08-2008, 03:32 PM | #111 | |||
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EDIT: So what are Ford doing to survive here? Where is their export program? Why wasn't the FG engineered for LHD? NZ and SA are their only exports but to keep the manufacturing here with reduced tariffs they need to be serious, quit the whining and get a proper export program happening, innovate. Last edited by Wretched; 14-08-2008 at 03:41 PM. |
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14-08-2008, 03:43 PM | #112 | |||
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14-08-2008, 03:48 PM | #113 | |||
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1,100,000,000 / 68,000 no of people involved according to PC = $16,176 This does not take into account the benefits gained from the automotive industry such as taxes etc. Edit: I am not whining, nor do I think Ford are and I hope they do develop an export program (maybe you can suggest some countries, US? Thailand? they all offer various measures of protection) I do find it interesting that there are a lot of arm chair experts (and pollies) who have no idea on manufacturing what so ever, but can state that Australia is simply uncompetitive without looking at the reasons why. I am concerned with the long term ramifications of these decisions and hope people can realise the the loss of manufacturing or any industry in Aus will have flow on effects to other industries.
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VIXEN MK II GT 0238 with Sunroof and tinted windows with out all the go fast bits I actually need : Last edited by SB076; 14-08-2008 at 04:03 PM. |
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14-08-2008, 05:17 PM | #114 | ||||
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If someone wants to read a good book on how to "compete" with Japanese manufacturers than I suggest the book "automobile factory of despair" http://blog.autospeed.com/2008/04/11...ry-of-despair/ Here is an extract: Quote:
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14-08-2008, 05:40 PM | #115 | |||
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Much higher volume in the US compared to here and therefore lower cost of sale. |
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14-08-2008, 07:16 PM | #116 | |||
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If you were an electrician, it's like me asking you to install some more power points in my house for free, just so you can prove you know your stuff. I'll do it for the right incentives. Not much chance of it happening unless you guys all pool your resources for my answers. |
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14-08-2008, 07:19 PM | #117 | |||
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I doubt Holden could produce a decent car for $35g without tariffs. Retaliatory tariffs are not the solution. People would only buy our cars because they're better off as a result. If they think they'll be better off not buying our cars, then that's their decision. You don't have your butcher twisting your arm to buy his meats because he's better off than if you bought it from Coles. You'd only buy for him if he did the same/better quality for cheaper/same. |
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14-08-2008, 07:22 PM | #118 | |||
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That's all that matters. If the only way they can stay in business is from govt handouts, then certain questions need to be asked about their sustainability. I am definitely under the impression that if handouts were decreased, these companies would be forced to innovate. |
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14-08-2008, 07:31 PM | #119 | |||
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If it's just short term protection you talk about, then the tariffs they get should see them through just fine. But its when manufacturers build tariff/protection revenue into their business plans, that the problems start. If H/F can produce a car that will sell in the worldwide marketplace, then good for them. Hopefully they can do so without subsidies. I've got no doubt that they're probably more productive per worker than their Chinese counterparts, but the fact is that the Asians can often do the same work for less. That's why MG Rover was moved to China. There's only so much protection you can give to an industry. I would hugely disagree that tariffs should be given to all industries, for a number of reasons. Even the most Economically liberal people wouldn't support that. Again, time is money and I don't have the time to write out a mini essay everyday. I simply believe that Australian car manufacturers need to be able to compete in the global marketplace with minimal protection. By gradually cutting protection, they are going to be forced to innovate more (more on the R+D, marketing side rather than the production side possibly). So just to recapitulate, tariff's should not be abolished. They should be cut in a manner that fosters the growth of companies to allow them to compete on a global level. Protection has been shown to limit this and limit production decisions. I think you guys are seeing my views as much more extreme than they actually are. In an ideal world I would advocate much different things to what I am here. |
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14-08-2008, 08:38 PM | #120 | |||
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Australian manufacturers innovate now, but don't let that get in the way of a good story. Innovation has had to happen in these plants, that's where the battle is ultimately going to be won or lost. Design for manufacture, flexible cells, quick changeover, these are all part of Ford's manufacturing systems. Unfortunately the capital investment is so intensive in Automotive manufacturing business plans that fast & large changes across all systems is impossible - it is often linked to platform changes or new programs. Toyota and Holden have their systems that promote continuous improvement as does Ford. FoA, for example, have one of the most lean and flexible stamping and assembly plants in the world. Visit the Broadmeadows Bodyshop. If that's not good enough, visit it when they add another platform (Focus) in a couple of years and tell me that they aren't innovative. The Australian manufacturers are light years ahead of where they were 20 years ago both in cost and quality. This has been been driven by the reduction in Tariffs, no doubt, but to call the current plants inefficient and insinuating that they do not innovate is unfair. Like I said earlier, "Get out into the real world" and learn something for yourself. If you did maybe you'd end up with something called business acumen. BTW your international economics 'marks' mean "diddley squat" in the real world until you've earned your 'stripes'. Start off doing some photo-copying then move onto doing a few "pie-charts" for your new boss for starters. Then again, I guess from reading your post above (about the value of your knowledge) you'll be moving straight on to running the OECD instead. |
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